Wednesday, March 01, 2006

Iraq Insurgents locals NOT al Qaeda said 2003 National Intelligence Estimate

If you just relied on the Bush administration and Fox, talk radio, and even mainstream network news, you would think we are fighting primarily foreign al Qaeda terrorists in Iraq.

But as early as 2003, top analysts from various intelligence agencies agreed the insurgency was local and based on real grievances, including the presence of our troops and told the Bushies.

The Bushies chose to lie to us instead.

The same kind of information was why Nixon didn't want the Pentagon Papers about the Vietnam War published. It wasn't that they revealed our intelligence methods or war plans, but that the presence of our troops was fueling the resistance.

It's possible that some portion of the 72% of our troops who want us to leave within the year have figured this out, that they are killing people who are doing the same thing they would be doing if America was occupied. These 18 to twenty-something year olds are going to carry that with them for a long time.


Intelligence agencies warned about growing local insurgency in late 2003
Posted on Tue, Feb. 28, 2006
Knight Ridder Newspapers


Among the warnings, Knight Ridder has learned, was a major study, called a National Intelligence Estimate, completed in October 2003 that concluded that the insurgency was fueled by local conditions - not foreign terrorists- and drew strength from deep grievances, including the presence of U.S. troops.


Maples said that while Iraqi terrorists and foreign fighters conduct some of the most spectacular attacks, disaffected Iraqi Sunnis make up the insurgency's core. "So long as Sunni Arabs are denied access to resources and lack a meaningful presence in government, they will continue to resort to violence," he told the Senate Armed Services Committee.

That view contrasts with what the administration said as the insurgency began in the months following the March 2003 U.S.-led invasion and gained traction in the fall. Bush and his aides portrayed it as the work primarily of foreign terrorists crossing Iraq's borders, disenfranchised former officials of Saddam's deposed regime and criminals.

On Nov. 1, 2003, a day after the National Intelligence Estimate was distributed, Bush said in his weekly radio address: "Some of the killers behind these attacks are loyalists of the Saddam regime who seek to regain power and who resent Iraq's new freedoms. Others are foreigners who have traveled to Iraq to spread fear and chaos. ... The terrorists and the Baathists hope to weaken our will. Our will cannot be shaken."


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