Sunday, February 19, 2006

How and Why Bush will invade Iran

Most people have correctly noticed that Iran is a much bigger and more culturally unified country than Iraq, and that our troops are too bogged down in Iraq for Bush to invade anyway.

But neither of those are problems if they only plan to occupy the oil producing region near Iraq and bomb enough of the rest to make resistance difficult--it is much easier and less dangerous to smash in a store window, grab the goods, and run than to do a home invasion robbery. Iraq was the home invasion, Iran will be a smash and grab.

Two reasons Bush will do this:
  1. steal the oil per the PNAC plan

  2. stop Iran from trading oil in euros, which could destroy the dollar. I wasn't sure how much credibility to give this dollar/euro until Sharon in Israel announced they would attack Iran in March if the US didn't first. March is when Iran plans to open their market to trade oil in euros.

This has nothing to do with their nuclear program as Iran's willingness to have their fuel processed in Russia shows. If we were really worried about nuclear proliferation, we would attack and invade Pakistan, which is a much less stable country that markets nuke technology and barely contains the fundamentalist terrorist groups in their country.


Annexing Khuzestan; battle-plans for Iran

By Mike Whitney

...Equally astonishing, the administration has coerced both Russia and China into bringing Iran before the United Nations Security Council although (as Mohamed ElBaradei says) “There’s no evidence of a nuclear weapons program.” The surprising capitulation of Russia and China has forced Iran to abandon its efforts for further negotiations; cutting off dialogue that might diffuse the volatile situation.

Bush has no intention of occupying Iran. Rather, the goal is to destroy major weapons-sites, destabilize the regime, and occupy a sliver of land on the Iraqi border that contains 90% of Iran’s oil wealth. Ultimately, Washington will aim to replace the Mullahs with American-friendly clients who can police their own people and fabricate the appearance of representative government. But, that will have to wait. For now, the administration must prevent the incipient Iran bourse (oil-exchange) from opening in March and precipitating a global sell-off of the debt-ridden dollar. There have many fine articles written about the proposed “euro-based” bourse and the devastating effects it will have on the greenback. The best of these are “Petrodollar Warfare: Oil, Iraq and the Future of the Dollar” by William R. Clark, and “The Proposed Oil Bourse” by Krassimir Petrov, Ph.D.

The bottom line on the bourse is this; the dollar is underwritten by a national debt that now exceeds $8 trillion dollars and trade deficits that surpass $600 billion per year. That means that the greenback is the greatest swindle in the history of mankind. It’s utterly worthless. The only thing that keeps the dollar afloat is that oil is traded exclusively in greenbacks rather than some other currency. If Iran is able to smash that monopoly by trading in petro-euros then the world’s central banks will dump the greenback overnight, sending markets crashing and the US economy into a downward spiral.


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